Risk Outline: Accounting for Lawyers
- Factors that affect risk:
- Economy-wide factors, such as credit crisis, a recession or inflation
- Industry wide factors, such as obsolescence or competition
- Firm-specific factors such as the potential for a labor strike and poor management
- Generally focuses on relative liquidity of firm:
- Short-term risk: can firm pay short-term obligations, such as wages?
- Working capital: current assets – current liabilities
- Expressed as money amount
- Current ratio: current assets/current liabilities
- Expressed as a ratio; rule of thumb = 1.5
- Acid-test/Quick ratio:
- (cash + ST investments + net receivables)/current liabilities
- More stringent measure than the current ratio
- Expressed as ratio; rule of thumb = 0.9 – 1.0
- Current ratio (aka working capital ratio)
- Measure of company’s ability to pay its current liabilities
- = total current assets/ total current liabilities
- = (cash + ST investments + net receivables + inventories + prepaid expenses) / total current liabilities
- Long-term risk: can the firm pay long-term obligations, like debt?
- Debt-to-equity:
- = total liabilities/total equities
- Percentage of total financing provided by debtors or creditors
- Debt ratio:
- = total liabilities/total assets
- Proportion of the assets that are financed with debt
- Average for most companies = 0.62
- The higher the ratio, the greater the pressure to pay the debt
- Times Interest Earned
- Income from operations/interest expense
- Measures the number of times interest can cover interest
- High ratio indicates the ease of paying interest
- Cash from operations/total liabilities
- Measures the ability of the firm to pay all liabilities from cash without new debt or additional investment
- Liabilities on Cash Flow Statement
- Issuing bonds, short- and long-term debt are reported as financing inflows
- Repayment of bond and loan principal are financing outflows
- Interest expense is classified as operating outflow
- Capital lease: financing inflow, investing outflow
- Stock investments
- Price-earnings ratio
- Market price per share of common stock/earnings per share
- Compares market price to earnings
- Investors prefer low P/E ratio to high one
- Dividend yield
- Dividend per share/market price per share
- Compares dividends per share to market price
- Book value per share
- (Total shareholders’ equity – preferred equity)/(# of common shares outstanding)
- Limitations of Ratio Analysis
- Ratios based on financial data share the same problems of financial data (such as timeliness).
- Changes in many ratios correlate with other ratios, so a direct interpretation of a change in ratio is not always apparent.
- Comparing ratios over time is complicated by the fact that economic conditions may change also.
- Comparing ratios between two firms is complicated by the fact that the firms may hve different economic environments or production technologies even though they produce same product.
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